Angel Fire Resort
NM · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Season ahead / U.S. mountain outlook
Southwest ski season outlook
See the seasonal temperature and precipitation outlook for your mountains. Build a winter shortlist, then find the pass that fits your ski days.
Three-month outlooksNOAA Climate Prediction Center
Pass access needs a source update. All seasonal mountains remain available.
Dec 1, 2026 – Feb 28, 2027
Precipitation issued Oct 15, 2026 · Temperature issued Oct 15, 2026
Seasonal odds, not a snowfall total.
Percentages label NOAA probability-map categories: 40%+ marks the lower edge of a mapped probability band, not an exact estimate for that mountain. These are broad three-month climate categories relative to the 1991–2020 normal. Wetter does not necessarily mean snowier: consider temperature too. Equal chances means no category is favored, not a promise of an average winter.
See your winter options on the map.
Use the filters above. The map includes all 8 matching mountains with mapped locations.
Opening loads an OpenStreetMap base layer. Forecast cards remain available below.
8 matching mountains · Showing 8. Select up to three for your pass shortlist.
Arizona Snowbowl
AZ · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Pajarito Mountain
NM · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Red River Ski Area
NM · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Sipapu
NM · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Ski Apache
NM · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Ski Santa Fe
NM · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Taos Ski Valley
NM · Southwest
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Percentages are NOAA map probability bands, not exact mountain estimates. Each belongs to its own category. Temperature and precipitation probabilities are not a joint chance of snow, and they do not predict conditions on a particular trip date. Regions and individual mountain elevations can differ from these broad outlook areas.
How to use these seasonal signals →
Your winter shortlist
Turn mountain options into a pass plan.
Keep your home mountain and possible trips together. The forecast provides context; your actual days, access rules and costs decide the pass.
Add up to three mountains above, or start with the places you already plan to ski →
Keep this winter plan.
Your link keeps the seasonal window, filters, shortlist and ski-day counts. If a current map is open, its layer is included. Reopening checks current outlook and pass-access availability.
Plan a ski season in Southwest.
Use available three-month temperature and precipitation outlooks to add context to your shortlist, then compare passes using your planned ski days. A wetter regional outlook is not a prediction of more snow at every elevation or good conditions on a specific date.
Check your intended operating dates separately
Choose the Southwest mountains and dates you would actually visit, then check each operator’s opening plans and available terrain close to travel. A regional three-month signal does not confirm that a specific early- or late-season ski day will operate.
These 8 mountain guides connect the seasonal outlook with trip weather, available observing-station normals, official reports, cameras and reviewed local planning details. Availability varies by mountain.
Understand seasonal probabilities and climate normals →
Turn your shortlist into a trip
- Open a mountain guide above for its weather tools and available operator links. Check roads, lifts and terrain again close to departure.
- Enter your mountain choices, ski days and actual dates in the pass calculator. Access restrictions and shared day limits still need checking.
- Compare complete trip budgets, including transport, lodging, equipment and lift access. Seasonal probabilities do not measure value for money.