Big Bear Mountain Resort
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 50%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Season ahead / U.S. mountain outlook
California & Nevada ski season outlook
See the seasonal temperature and precipitation outlook for your mountains. Build a winter shortlist, then find the pass that fits your ski days.
Three-month outlooksNOAA Climate Prediction Center
Pass access needs a source update. All seasonal mountains remain available.
Dec 1, 2026 – Feb 28, 2027
Precipitation issued Oct 15, 2026 · Temperature issued Oct 15, 2026
Seasonal odds, not a snowfall total.
Percentages label NOAA probability-map categories: 40%+ marks the lower edge of a mapped probability band, not an exact estimate for that mountain. These are broad three-month climate categories relative to the 1991–2020 normal. Wetter does not necessarily mean snowier: consider temperature too. Equal chances means no category is favored, not a promise of an average winter.
See your winter options on the map.
Use the filters above. The map includes all 14 matching mountains with mapped locations.
Opening loads an OpenStreetMap base layer. Forecast cards remain available below.
14 matching mountains · Showing 12. Select up to three for your pass shortlist.
China Peak
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Dodge Ridge
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- 33%+chance of above-normal seasonal temperature
Heavenly
CA/NV · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- 33%+chance of above-normal seasonal temperature
June Mountain
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Kirkwood
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- 33%+chance of above-normal seasonal temperature
Mammoth Mountain
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Mountain High
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 50%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- Equal chancesNo category favored.
Mt Rose Ski Tahoe
NV · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- 33%+chance of above-normal seasonal temperature
Northstar
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- 33%+chance of above-normal seasonal temperature
Palisades Tahoe
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- 33%+chance of above-normal seasonal temperature
Sierra-at-Tahoe
CA · Sierra
- Precipitation
- 40%+chance of above-normal seasonal precipitation
- Temperature
- 33%+chance of above-normal seasonal temperature
Percentages are NOAA map probability bands, not exact mountain estimates. Each belongs to its own category. Temperature and precipitation probabilities are not a joint chance of snow, and they do not predict conditions on a particular trip date. Regions and individual mountain elevations can differ from these broad outlook areas.
How to use these seasonal signals →
Your winter shortlist
Turn mountain options into a pass plan.
Keep your home mountain and possible trips together. The forecast provides context; your actual days, access rules and costs decide the pass.
Add up to three mountains above, or start with the places you already plan to ski →
Keep this winter plan.
Your link keeps the seasonal window, filters, shortlist and ski-day counts. If a current map is open, its layer is included. Reopening checks current outlook and pass-access availability.
Plan a ski season in California & Nevada.
Use available three-month temperature and precipitation outlooks to add context to your shortlist, then compare passes using your planned ski days. A wetter regional outlook is not a prediction of more snow at every elevation or good conditions on a specific date.
Choose your base before combining mountain days
California and Nevada mountains in the same seasonal window can require different travel plans. Compare your lodging location, the road to each mountain and parking arrangements before treating several resorts as one itinerary.
These 14 mountain guides connect the seasonal outlook with trip weather, available observing-station normals, official reports, cameras and reviewed local planning details. Availability varies by mountain.
Understand seasonal probabilities and climate normals →
Turn your shortlist into a trip
- Open a mountain guide above for its weather tools and available operator links. Check roads, lifts and terrain again close to departure.
- Enter your mountain choices, ski days and actual dates in the pass calculator. Access restrictions and shared day limits still need checking.
- Compare complete trip budgets, including transport, lodging, equipment and lift access. Seasonal probabilities do not measure value for money.