Australia · AU

Thredbo

Find your weather window. Know your pass. Make more time for the mountain.

Mountain inspiration · illustrative scenery, not a live view of Thredbo

Season ahead / Australia

Thredbo: plan beyond the next storm

Compare seasonal temperature and precipitation, then check your ski dates and total trip cost.

CanSIPS: the regional season ahead

Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada · CanSIPS model month 2026-09. Source files fetched 14 Sept 2026 · Use before 1 Oct 2026 (UTC).

Each probability describes the below-normal, near-normal or above-normal third of the 1991–2020 climate distribution. Seasonal mean temperature and seasonal precipitation are separate signals; these are not snowfall amounts or forecasts for individual ski days.

May–July 2027

Seasonal mean temperature

Below normal
9.6%
Near normal
24.3%
Above normal
66.1%

Seasonal precipitation

Below normal
38.1%
Near normal
33.6%
Above normal
28.3%

June–August 2027

Seasonal mean temperature

Below normal
9.7%
Near normal
24.4%
Above normal
65.9%

Seasonal precipitation

Below normal
33.0%
Near normal
33.9%
Above normal
33.1%

The forecast uses a coarse 1° grid, about 100 km. Its grid point is 19.0 km from this mountain’s map point; it does not resolve local terrain or elevation. Long-lead forecast skill has not been validated for this ski area. These probabilities cannot establish resort opening dates or identify a powder week.

This mountain shares its forecast cell with Perisher. Matching probabilities are not independent mountain forecasts.

Values are rounded to one decimal place and may not sum to exactly 100%. Overlapping three-month windows are not independent monthly forecasts. Expired or withheld issues are removed. Check the model month and source date before planning.

CanSIPS source products and methods ↗

Bureau of Meteorology: an independent outlook

The Bureau’s maps open on its website. Its above-median probabilities use a different threshold from CanSIPS’s three categories; do not compare the percentages as equivalent forecasts.

Select your location and a three-month period in the Bureau’s maps. Check that the displayed dates cover your trip: its forecast horizon extends up to four months, so next winter may not yet be available. Read rainfall and temperature together, and inspect the past-accuracy layer for that location and period.

Open Australian seasonal maps ↗

The chance of above-median rainfall describes a seasonal threshold, not the percentage of days with rain or an increase in snowfall. Median means the middle historical value. A wetter outlook does not establish more mountain snow; temperature and individual storms matter. These regional probabilities cannot identify a powder week or confirm resort opening dates.

Enter your ski days in the pass comparison. The trip budget starts with one editable ski day. Enter your actual days, quotes and pass rules; use the short-range forecast below as your trip approaches.

The next three days at Thredbo.

Request MET Norway temperature, wind and liquid-precipitation forecasts. Check the source update and model elevation with the results; mountain terrain and conditions can differ.

Units and time-zone preference stay in this browser.

Shares this mountain’s forecast page. Forecast values and your trip dates are not included; the recipient can request fresh weather.

Turn the forecast into a ski trip

More days at Thredbo.

Compare pass and lift-ticket costs for the days you want to ski.

Explore local passes & ticket packs at Thredbo

Use dates for one consecutive stay. Dates stay in this browser session and are not included in the shared plan link.

Budget lodging, travel & gear for 2 days

Starts a new comparison for this mountain. Dates help check known holiday and weekend restrictions; confirm current pass access with the operator. Forecast weather does not confirm the mountain will be open.

Find your way onto Thredbo.

Compare the mountain's own pass with access you already have and the dates you intend to ski. Each offer has its own eligibility, blackout and reservation rules.

Compare mountain weather worldwide → · Understand the weather sources →

Historical snow research is on hold

Legacy historical snowfall records and projections derived from them remain paused while we verify their sources. The NOAA seasonal outlook and current weather tools use separate, attributed sources.

Read the historical-data status →

Check Thredbo pass access