❄ PassCast
Mountains / Northeast

Gore Mountain NY

997–3,599 ft · long-term average 150" per season · window ticket ~$129 · prime window Jan–Feb

PassCast reseeded 2026-07-10 · season 2026-27

The short answer: PassCast projects a median of 139" at Gore Mountain for 2026-27 — 94% of a typical season — with a skiability rating of 43/100, ~6 powder days, and Jan–Feb as the prime window. Updated daily from 10,000 simulations.

43SKIABILITY / 100Selective — time it well
Snow quantity 35%43
Season lean 30%43
Powder days 20%24
Bust risk 15%69
Median sim
139" (94% of typical)
P(above typical)
42%
Powder days
~6 (6"+ days)

80% of simulated seasons land between 89" and 188". Reseeded daily as ENSO observations, CPC outlooks, and SEAS5 runs update.

10,000 simulated 2026-27 seasonsENSO-weighted resampling of 36 real seasons (1990–2026) at Gore Mountain, tilted by the live seasonal outlook

50"100"150"200"250"P10 89"P50 139"P90 188"typical 148"

Highlighted bars span the middle half of outcomes (P25–P75). The yellow dashed line is a typical season — the median of the last 36 at this mountain.

What's driving this forecast

ENSO: El Niño favored (99%)

The 2026-27 season is simulated by resampling Gore Mountain's historical seasons weighted toward El Niño analog years. NOAA CPC El Niño Advisory (June 11, 2026): El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into winter 2026-27, with a 63% chance of a very strong event (Niño3.4 ≥ +2.0°C) during Nov-Jan. CPC DJF strength odds: very strong 46%, strong 33%, moderate 16%. IRI (June 22) concurs at 98% El Niño for DJF. Latest observed ONI (AMJ 2026): +1.0.

Regional ENSO signal: unfavorable (weak-moderate)

Northern New England saw below-average snow in >90% of moderate-to-strong El Niño winters; the warm signal is more reliable than the snow signal, and coastal storm tracks can flip individual winters. Applied as a -6% tilt at partial weight.

Pre-season: climate drivers only

Day-to-day weather models have no skill this far out, so the near-term forecast contributes 0% weight today. The simulation leans entirely on ENSO-conditioned climatology — exactly what an honest seasonal outlook should do in summer. Weighting shifts toward live forecasts as opening day approaches.

The regional readNortheast · from the 2026-27 outlook

Strong El Niño is a torch for New England: 2015-16 was the warmest, least-snowy winter in modern Northeast ski history, and 2023-24 wasn't much kinder. The counterweight is the amped subtropical jet, which can detonate coastal bombs when cold air is available — the hope is a 2009-10-style big-storm pattern rather than a 2015-16 washout. Plan for below-average natural snowfall and heavy snowmaking reliance, with genuine boom-or-bust nor'easter upside: one 30-inch weekend can rescue a lean year.

Full global outlook →

Month by monthENSO-conditioned analog medians vs a typical month — when this season should deliver

Nov117%Dec97%Jan100%Feb103%Mar100%Apr106%
Typical month (median)ENSO-conditioned lean, wetENSO-conditioned lean, dry

Prime window: Jan–Feb — the deepest contiguous stretch of the conditioned season. Aim the trip there.

The analog poolEvery season since 1990 at Gore Mountain (ERA5, calibrated to the resort's reported average), colored by ENSO phase

50"125"175"225"1990-91: 130" (ONI +0.4)1991-92: 105" (ONI +1.7)1992-93: 209" (ONI +0.1)1993-94: 188" (ONI +0.1)1994-95: 111" (ONI +1.0)1995-96: 168" (ONI -0.9)1996-97: 209" (ONI -0.5)1997-98: 174" (ONI +2.2)1998-99: 168" (ONI -1.6)1999-00: 149" (ONI -1.7)2000-01: 175" (ONI -0.7)2001-02: 138" (ONI -0.1)2002-03: 190" (ONI +0.9)2003-04: 131" (ONI +0.4)2004-05: 119" (ONI +0.6)2005-06: 92" (ONI -0.8)2006-07: 193" (ONI +0.7)2007-08: 199" (ONI -1.6)2008-09: 145" (ONI -0.8)2009-10: 140" (ONI +1.5)2010-11: 178" (ONI -1.3)2011-12: 118" (ONI -0.7)2012-13: 127" (ONI -0.3)2013-14: 147" (ONI -0.3)2014-15: 148" (ONI +0.7)2015-16: 64" (ONI +2.6)2016-17: 179" (ONI -0.2)2017-18: 134" (ONI -0.8)2018-19: 174" (ONI +0.9)2019-20: 152" (ONI +0.6)2020-21: 112" (ONI -0.9)2021-22: 137" (ONI -0.8)2022-23: 178" (ONI -0.5)2023-24: 184" (ONI +1.9)2024-25: 123" (ONI -0.5)2025-26: 112" (ONI -0.4)19901995200020052010201520202025
La Niña winterNeutralEl Niño winterTypical winter (median)

Pass math for Gore Mountain

Gore Mountain isn't on a multi-resort pass — but you can still see what a season here is worth.

10days

No multi-resort pass covers these mountains — window tickets are the play.

Gore Mountain 2026-27: straight answers

How much snow will Gore Mountain get in the 2026-27 season?
PassCast's latest 10,000-run simulation (reseeded 2026-07-10) puts the median at 139 inches — 94% of a typical season at Gore Mountain — with 80% of outcomes between 89 and 188 inches. The forecast blends Gore Mountain's own 36-season ENSO analog record with NOAA's seasonal outlook and the ECMWF SEAS5 ensemble.
Is a season pass worth it for Gore Mountain in 2026-27?
Gore Mountain is not on Epic, Ikon, or Mountain Collective for 2026-27 — budget about $129 per peak-window day ticket, or check the resort's own multi-day products.
When is the best time to ski Gore Mountain in 2026-27?
Jan–Feb is the prime window — the deepest contiguous stretch of the ENSO-conditioned season at Gore Mountain. Month-by-month medians are charted on this page.
How reliable will the snow be at Gore Mountain this season?
The simulation gives Gore Mountain a 42% chance of beating its typical season and a median of about 6 six-inch-plus powder days. Its skiability rating is 43/100 (“Selective — time it well”), updated daily.

Sources: ERA5 reanalysis & multi-model forecasts via Open-Meteo · NOAA CPC ONI, ENSO advisory & seasonal outlook · ECMWF SEAS5 · pass prices verified July 2026. See methodology for the honest fine print.