Use the seasonal outlook below for longer-term planning. Recheck weather and operating status close to departure.
The next three days at Falls Creek.
Request MET Norway temperature, wind and liquid-precipitation forecasts. Check the source update and model elevation with the results; mountain terrain and conditions can differ.
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Shares this mountain’s forecast page. Forecast values and your trip dates are not included; the recipient can request fresh weather.
Turn the forecast into a ski trip
More days at Falls Creek.
Compare pass and lift-ticket costs for the days you want to ski.
Starts a new comparison for this mountain. Dates help check known holiday and weekend restrictions; confirm current pass access with the operator. Forecast weather does not confirm the mountain will be open.
Season ahead / Australia
Falls Creek: plan beyond the next storm
Compare seasonal temperature and precipitation, then check your ski dates and total trip cost.
CanSIPS: the regional season ahead
Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada · CanSIPS model month 2026-11. Source files fetched 1 Nov 2026 · Use before 1 Dec 2026 (UTC).
Each probability describes the below-normal, near-normal or above-normal third of the 1991–2020 climate distribution. Seasonal mean temperature and seasonal precipitation are separate signals; these are not snowfall amounts or forecasts for individual ski days.
May–July 2027
Seasonal mean temperature
Below normal
1.9%
Near normal
10.4%
Above normal
87.7%
Seasonal precipitation
Below normal
25.7%
Near normal
33.3%
Above normal
41.0%
Mountain forecast skill has not been verified for this product. Published category odds are not an accuracy score.
Check this forecast’s track record
May–July 2027 · Issued November 2026 · 6-month lead (the gap before this seasonal window starts).
Check that the official viewer still shows the November 2026 issue. It advances each month.
Select May–July 2027. Its period selector counts the issue month as month 1: choose 7–9 month. The link opens the viewer; it does not preselect this period.
Choose Temperature (seasonal mean daily temperature at 2m) and Precipitation (seasonal water total, including rain and snow) separately. Inspect Skill map, then Reliability.
Skill describes past category predictions; reliability compares probabilities with observed frequencies. We have not confirmed that these verification products match the model version and calibration of the fields displayed here. Global reliability combines many locations; it does not validate this ski area or snowfall.
Mountain forecast skill has not been verified for this product. Published category odds are not an accuracy score.
Check this forecast’s track record
June–August 2027 · Issued November 2026 · 7-month lead (the gap before this seasonal window starts).
Check that the official viewer still shows the November 2026 issue. It advances each month.
Select June–August 2027. Its period selector counts the issue month as month 1: choose 8–10 month. The link opens the viewer; it does not preselect this period.
Choose Temperature (seasonal mean daily temperature at 2m) and Precipitation (seasonal water total, including rain and snow) separately. Inspect Skill map, then Reliability.
Skill describes past category predictions; reliability compares probabilities with observed frequencies. We have not confirmed that these verification products match the model version and calibration of the fields displayed here. Global reliability combines many locations; it does not validate this ski area or snowfall.
Mountain forecast skill has not been verified for this product. Published category odds are not an accuracy score.
Check this forecast’s track record
July–September 2027 · Issued November 2026 · 8-month lead (the gap before this seasonal window starts).
Check that the official viewer still shows the November 2026 issue. It advances each month.
Select July–September 2027. Its period selector counts the issue month as month 1: choose 9–11 month. The link opens the viewer; it does not preselect this period.
Choose Temperature (seasonal mean daily temperature at 2m) and Precipitation (seasonal water total, including rain and snow) separately. Inspect Skill map, then Reliability.
Skill describes past category predictions; reliability compares probabilities with observed frequencies. We have not confirmed that these verification products match the model version and calibration of the fields displayed here. Global reliability combines many locations; it does not validate this ski area or snowfall.
The forecast uses a coarse 1° grid, about 100 km. Its grid point is 45.6 km from this mountain’s map point; it does not resolve local terrain or elevation. Long-lead forecast skill has not been validated for this ski area. These probabilities cannot establish resort opening dates or identify a powder week.
This mountain shares its forecast cell with Mt Hotham. Matching probabilities are not independent mountain forecasts.
Values are rounded to one decimal place and may not sum to exactly 100%. Overlapping three-month windows are not independent monthly forecasts. Expired or withheld issues are removed. Check the model month and source date before planning.
The Bureau’s maps open on its website. Its above-median probabilities use a different threshold from CanSIPS’s three categories; do not compare the percentages as equivalent forecasts.
Select your location and a three-month period in the Bureau’s maps. Check that the displayed dates cover your trip: its forecast horizon extends up to four months, so next winter may not yet be available. Read rainfall and temperature together, and inspect the past-accuracy layer for that location and period.
The chance of above-median rainfall describes a seasonal threshold, not the percentage of days with rain or an increase in snowfall. Median means the middle historical value. A wetter outlook does not establish more mountain snow; temperature and individual storms matter. These regional probabilities cannot identify a powder week or confirm resort opening dates.
Enter your ski days in the pass comparison. The trip budget starts with one editable ski day. Enter your actual days, quotes and pass rules; use the short-range forecast below as your trip approaches.
Find your way onto Falls Creek.
Compare the mountain's own pass with access you already have and the dates you intend to ski. Each offer has its own eligibility, blackout and reservation rules.
Local passes & ticket packs
We do not yet have a local pass or ticket-pack listing for Falls Creek. This does not mean the mountain has no local products.
Get the operator's quote for your exact product, season and ski dates, then compare it with the tickets you would otherwise buy.
Legacy historical snowfall records and projections derived from them remain paused while we verify their sources. The NOAA seasonal outlook and current weather tools use separate, attributed sources.
