Mountains / Colorado

Ski Cooper CO

10,49911,699 ft · long-term average 260" per season · window ticket ~$95 · prime window Mar–Apr

PassCast reseeded 2026-07-10 · season 2026-27

The short answer: PassCast projects a median of 261" at Ski Cooper for 2026-27101% of a typical season — with a skiability rating of 62/100, ~11 powder days, and Mar–Apr as the prime window. Updated daily from 10,000 simulations.

62SKIABILITY / 100Deep & reliable
Snow quantity 35%65
Season lean 30%51
Powder days 20%44
Bust risk 15%100
Median sim
261" (101% of typical)
P(above typical)
52%
Powder days
~11 (6"+ days)

80% of simulated seasons land between 215" and 327". Reseeded daily as ENSO observations, CPC outlooks, and SEAS5 runs update.

10,000 simulated 2026-27 seasonsENSO-weighted resampling of 36 real seasons (1990–2026) at Ski Cooper, tilted by the live seasonal outlook

150"200"250"300"350"400"P10 215"P50 261"P90 327"typical 259"

Highlighted bars span the middle half of outcomes (P25–P75). The yellow dashed line is a typical season — the median of the last 36 at this mountain.

What's driving this forecast

ENSO: El Niño favored (99%)

The 2026-27 season is simulated by resampling Ski Cooper's historical seasons weighted toward El Niño analog years. NOAA CPC El Niño Advisory (June 11, 2026): El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into winter 2026-27, with a 63% chance of a very strong event (Niño3.4 ≥ +2.0°C) during Nov-Jan. CPC DJF strength odds: very strong 46%, strong 33%, moderate 16%. IRI (June 22) concurs at 98% El Niño for DJF. Latest observed ONI (AMJ 2026): +1.0.

Regional ENSO signal: favorable (weak-moderate)

A north-south dipole: El Niño favors the southern ranges (+10-25%) via the southern storm track, is roughly neutral in the north. Statewide signal is modest. Applied as a +2% tilt at partial weight.

Pre-season: climate drivers only

Day-to-day weather models have no skill this far out, so the near-term forecast contributes 0% weight today. The simulation leans entirely on ENSO-conditioned climatology — exactly what an honest seasonal outlook should do in summer. Weighting shifts toward live forecasts as opening day approaches.

The regional readColorado · from the 2026-27 outlook

El Niño splits Colorado along a northwest-southeast axis: the energized subtropical jet favors the San Juans and Sangre de Cristos, while Steamboat and the northern mountains lose their La Niña edge. Strong-event analogs (1982-83, 1997-98, 2023-24) skew average-to-above statewide with storm-heavy springs, though 2015-16 was mixed. Play it as southern Colorado above average, the I-70 corridor near normal, and March-April loaded.

Full global outlook →

Month by monthENSO-conditioned analog medians vs a typical month — when this season should deliver

Nov110%Dec92%Jan97%Feb104%Mar106%Apr100%
Typical month (median)ENSO-conditioned lean, wetENSO-conditioned lean, dry

Prime window: Mar–Apr — the deepest contiguous stretch of the conditioned season. Aim the trip there.

The analog poolEvery season since 1990 at Ski Cooper (ERA5, calibrated to the resort's reported average), colored by ENSO phase

75"175"250"350"1990-91: 265" (ONI +0.4)1991-92: 227" (ONI +1.7)1992-93: 280" (ONI +0.1)1993-94: 240" (ONI +0.1)1994-95: 316" (ONI +1.0)1995-96: 317" (ONI -0.9)1996-97: 314" (ONI -0.5)1997-98: 235" (ONI +2.2)1998-99: 279" (ONI -1.6)1999-00: 230" (ONI -1.7)2000-01: 216" (ONI -0.7)2001-02: 152" (ONI -0.1)2002-03: 239" (ONI +0.9)2003-04: 257" (ONI +0.4)2004-05: 259" (ONI +0.6)2005-06: 247" (ONI -0.8)2006-07: 241" (ONI +0.7)2007-08: 309" (ONI -1.6)2008-09: 279" (ONI -0.8)2009-10: 237" (ONI +1.5)2010-11: 302" (ONI -1.3)2011-12: 149" (ONI -0.7)2012-13: 242" (ONI -0.3)2013-14: 306" (ONI -0.3)2014-15: 238" (ONI +0.7)2015-16: 285" (ONI +2.6)2016-17: 324" (ONI -0.2)2017-18: 258" (ONI -0.8)2018-19: 323" (ONI +0.9)2019-20: 258" (ONI +0.6)2020-21: 258" (ONI -0.9)2021-22: 274" (ONI -0.8)2022-23: 264" (ONI -0.5)2023-24: 290" (ONI +1.9)2024-25: 267" (ONI -0.5)2025-26: 183" (ONI -0.4)19901995200020052010201520202025
La Niña winterNeutralEl Niño winterTypical winter (median)

Pass math for Ski Cooper

Ski Cooper isn't on a multi-resort pass — but you can still see what a season here is worth.

10days

No multi-resort pass covers these mountains — window tickets are the play.

Ski Cooper 2026-27: straight answers

How much snow will Ski Cooper get in the 2026-27 season?
PassCast's latest 10,000-run simulation (reseeded 2026-07-10) puts the median at 261 inches — 101% of a typical season at Ski Cooper — with 80% of outcomes between 215 and 327 inches. The forecast blends Ski Cooper's own 36-season ENSO analog record with NOAA's seasonal outlook and the ECMWF SEAS5 ensemble.
Is a season pass worth it for Ski Cooper in 2026-27?
Ski Cooper is not on Epic, Ikon, or Mountain Collective for 2026-27 — budget about $95 per peak-window day ticket, or check the resort's own multi-day products.
When is the best time to ski Ski Cooper in 2026-27?
Mar–Apr is the prime window — the deepest contiguous stretch of the ENSO-conditioned season at Ski Cooper. Month-by-month medians are charted on this page.
How reliable will the snow be at Ski Cooper this season?
The simulation gives Ski Cooper a 52% chance of beating its typical season and a median of about 11 six-inch-plus powder days. Its skiability rating is 62/100 (“Deep & reliable”), updated daily.

Sources: ERA5 reanalysis & multi-model forecasts via Open-Meteo · NOAA CPC ONI, ENSO advisory & seasonal outlook · ECMWF SEAS5 · pass prices verified July 2026. See methodology for the honest fine print.