Use the seasonal outlook below for longer-term planning. Recheck weather and operating status close to departure.
Season ahead / Australia
Mt Hotham: plan beyond the next storm
Compare seasonal temperature and precipitation, then check your ski dates and total trip cost.
CanSIPS: the regional season ahead
Data Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada · CanSIPS model month 2026-10. Source files fetched 1 Oct 2026 · Use before 1 Nov 2026 (UTC).
Each probability describes the below-normal, near-normal or above-normal third of the 1991–2020 climate distribution. Seasonal mean temperature and seasonal precipitation are separate signals; these are not snowfall amounts or forecasts for individual ski days.
May–July 2027
Seasonal mean temperature
Below normal
7.0%
Near normal
21.1%
Above normal
71.9%
Seasonal precipitation
Below normal
32.8%
Near normal
33.9%
Above normal
33.3%
Mountain forecast skill has not been verified for this product. Published category odds are not an accuracy score.
Check this forecast’s track record
May–July 2027 · Issued October 2026 · 7-month lead (the gap before this seasonal window starts).
Check that the official viewer still shows the October 2026 issue. It advances each month.
Select May–July 2027. Its period selector counts the issue month as month 1: choose 8–10 month. The link opens the viewer; it does not preselect this period.
Choose Temperature (seasonal mean daily temperature at 2m) and Precipitation (seasonal water total, including rain and snow) separately. Inspect Skill map, then Reliability.
Skill describes past category predictions; reliability compares probabilities with observed frequencies. We have not confirmed that these verification products match the model version and calibration of the fields displayed here. Global reliability combines many locations; it does not validate this ski area or snowfall.
Mountain forecast skill has not been verified for this product. Published category odds are not an accuracy score.
Check this forecast’s track record
June–August 2027 · Issued October 2026 · 8-month lead (the gap before this seasonal window starts).
Check that the official viewer still shows the October 2026 issue. It advances each month.
Select June–August 2027. Its period selector counts the issue month as month 1: choose 9–11 month. The link opens the viewer; it does not preselect this period.
Choose Temperature (seasonal mean daily temperature at 2m) and Precipitation (seasonal water total, including rain and snow) separately. Inspect Skill map, then Reliability.
Skill describes past category predictions; reliability compares probabilities with observed frequencies. We have not confirmed that these verification products match the model version and calibration of the fields displayed here. Global reliability combines many locations; it does not validate this ski area or snowfall.
Mountain forecast skill has not been verified for this product. Published category odds are not an accuracy score.
Check this forecast’s track record
July–September 2027 · Issued October 2026 · 9-month lead (the gap before this seasonal window starts).
Check that the official viewer still shows the October 2026 issue. It advances each month.
Select July–September 2027. Its period selector counts the issue month as month 1: choose 10–12 month. The link opens the viewer; it does not preselect this period.
Choose Temperature (seasonal mean daily temperature at 2m) and Precipitation (seasonal water total, including rain and snow) separately. Inspect Skill map, then Reliability.
Skill describes past category predictions; reliability compares probabilities with observed frequencies. We have not confirmed that these verification products match the model version and calibration of the fields displayed here. Global reliability combines many locations; it does not validate this ski area or snowfall.
The forecast uses a coarse 1° grid, about 100 km. Its grid point is 62.7 km from this mountain’s map point; it does not resolve local terrain or elevation. Long-lead forecast skill has not been validated for this ski area. These probabilities cannot establish resort opening dates or identify a powder week.
This mountain shares its forecast cell with Falls Creek. Matching probabilities are not independent mountain forecasts.
Values are rounded to one decimal place and may not sum to exactly 100%. Overlapping three-month windows are not independent monthly forecasts. Expired or withheld issues are removed. Check the model month and source date before planning.
The Bureau’s maps open on its website. Its above-median probabilities use a different threshold from CanSIPS’s three categories; do not compare the percentages as equivalent forecasts.
Select your location and a three-month period in the Bureau’s maps. Check that the displayed dates cover your trip: its forecast horizon extends up to four months, so next winter may not yet be available. Read rainfall and temperature together, and inspect the past-accuracy layer for that location and period.
The chance of above-median rainfall describes a seasonal threshold, not the percentage of days with rain or an increase in snowfall. Median means the middle historical value. A wetter outlook does not establish more mountain snow; temperature and individual storms matter. These regional probabilities cannot identify a powder week or confirm resort opening dates.
Enter your ski days in the pass comparison. The trip budget starts with one editable ski day. Enter your actual days, quotes and pass rules; use the short-range forecast below as your trip approaches.
Loading this mountain’s forecast. Official reports and trip planning remain available below.
Find your way onto Mt Hotham.
Compare the mountain's own pass with access you already have and the dates you intend to ski. Each offer has its own eligibility, blackout and reservation rules.
Local passes & ticket packs
Check recorded season passes and shorter ticket packs for your ski days.
Check the camera’s date, time and location. A frozen frame, obscured lens or off-season snow stake can mislead. Use the operator report for lift and terrain status.
Choose the view nearest your planned terrain and check its image timestamp. A village or beginner-area view does not establish conditions elsewhere; cameras do not confirm which lifts and runs are open.
Camera page reviewed 2026-09-14. Images open on the operator’s site; their current availability is not verified here.
Small details. Better ski trips.
Know before you go to Mt Hotham.
Transport, pass-use and budget tips selected for this destination. Open a tip for its full context and sources; confirm your dates and exact booking before relying on it.
Save tips in this browser for your next ski day. No account needed.
Official sourceChoose your Hotham bus before booking accommodationRead tip & sources
Hotham's 2026 village bus is included in resort entry, but the regular loop does not serve Alpine Gateway (Loch Carpark). That car park has a separate shuttle with only three departures each way on the published schedule. Check the return departure before leaving your vehicle. Dinner Plain is a different service: travel to Hotham requires a ticket, while the Hotham-to-Dinner Plain direction is free under the published 2026 rules. Compare lodging plus transport for everyone, rather than assuming every nearby stay has the free village loop. These services operate during the official snow season; the operator warns that shoulder-season services can finish earlier. Recheck the current timetable and your nearest stop before booking. Keep lift access and any vehicle-entry permit separate in your budget; the 2026 transport page does not establish 2027 fares or operating dates.
Legacy historical snowfall records and projections derived from them remain paused while we verify their sources. The NOAA seasonal outlook and current weather tools use separate, attributed sources.
Request MET Norway temperature, wind and liquid-precipitation forecasts. Check the source update and model elevation with the results; mountain terrain and conditions can differ.
Units and time-zone preference stay in this browser.
Shares this mountain’s forecast page. Forecast values and your trip dates are not included; the recipient can request fresh weather.
Mt Hotham, AU
MET Norway updated Oct 12, 1:17 AM GMT+0 UTC. Forecast-point elevation: 1,567 m. This is one model location, not the full mountain.
Forecast windows use Australia/Melbourne (mountain local time). Choose hourly detail for your departure and ski day, or the six-hour outlook for the next three days.
Time your mountain day
Hour by hour. Before you head out.
Inspect published changes between the six-hour checkpoints. Temperature and wind are samples at each hour’s start; liquid precipitation and the weather symbol cover the following hour. These are forecasts, not observations or snowfall depth.
24 future one-hour periods supplied · Oct 12, 4:00 PM GMT+11 to Oct 13, 4:00 PM GMT+11 · Australia/Melbourne. Up to 24 periods from this snapshot; elapsed starts are removed.
Scroll across the hours, or use the selector. Each card opens its exact one-hour readings.
Oct 12, 4:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT+11
☂Heavy rainMET one-hour weather summary
Temperature
10.1 °CAt the hour’s start
Wind speed
19 km/hAt the hour’s start · not a gust
Liquid precipitation
2.2 mmDuring the following complete hour
Mountain date at this hour’s start · Australia/Melbourne. Choose your stay length next.
All published hourly readings (24)
Published one-hour weather periods · Australia/Melbourne
One-hour window
One-hour weather
Temperature at start
Wind at start
One-hour liquid precipitation
Oct 12, 4:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT+11
Heavy rain
10.1 °C
19 km/h
2.2 mm
Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 6:00 PM GMT+11
Rain
9.7 °C
17 km/h
0.4 mm
Oct 12, 6:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 7:00 PM GMT+11
Fog
9.1 °C
15 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 12, 7:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 8:00 PM GMT+11
Fog
7.9 °C
13 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 12, 8:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 9:00 PM GMT+11
Fog
6.0 °C
7 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 12, 9:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 10:00 PM GMT+11
Fog
5.1 °C
6 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 12, 10:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 11:00 PM GMT+11
Fog
4.2 °C
5 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 12, 11:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 12:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
3.7 °C
7 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 12:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 1:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
4.7 °C
9 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 1:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 2:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
4.5 °C
9 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 2:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 3:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
3.6 °C
9 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 3:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 4:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
1.5 °C
8 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 4:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 5:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
0.5 °C
9 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 5:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 6:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
0.4 °C
9 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 6:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 7:00 AM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
0.4 °C
9 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 7:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 8:00 AM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
0.9 °C
8 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 8:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 9:00 AM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
2.0 °C
6 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 9:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 10:00 AM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
3.9 °C
8 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 10:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 11:00 AM GMT+11
Fair
5.7 °C
10 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 11:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 12:00 PM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
7.1 °C
12 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 12:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 1:00 PM GMT+11
Cloudy
8.7 °C
13 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 1:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 2:00 PM GMT+11
Cloudy
9.7 °C
13 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 2:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 3:00 PM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
9.6 °C
13 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 3:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 4:00 PM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
9.1 °C
14 km/h
0.0 mm
The first window starts in the future; this is not live weather now. One forecast point cannot resolve every slope or lift. Check operator reports and cameras for current operations. The downloadable CSV retains the separate six-hour outlook.
Temperature and wind describe the start of each window. Precipitation covers the following six hours as liquid equivalent; it is not snowfall depth.
Read the weather window
The next few days, at a glance.
Each track has its own scale. Dots mark temperature and wind at the window start; bars show liquid precipitation during the following six hours. Precipitation is not snowfall depth.
Scroll through the forecast. Select a card to inspect its six-hour window below.
Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 11:00 PM GMT+11
≋
MET six-hour weather summaryFog
A forecast for this window, not observed slope conditions or a snowfall depth.
Temperature
9.7 °CAt the start of each window
Wind speed
17 km/hAt the start of each window
Liquid precipitation
0.5 mmTotal during each six-hour window
Mountain date at the start of this window · Australia/Melbourne. Choose your stay length next.
The dashed marker shows the start of this window on each chart.
Temperature
At the start of each window
-2.9 °C to 11.1 °C
Bottom: -2.9 °CTop: 11.1 °C
Freezing reference · 0.0 °C
Wind speed
At the start of each window
2 km/h to 19 km/h
Bottom: 0 km/hTop: 19 km/h
Liquid precipitation
Total during each six-hour window
0.0 mm to 0.5 mm
Bottom: 0.0 mmTop: 1.0 mm
Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT+11Oct 15, 5:00 PM GMT+11
Left to right: Australia/Melbourne. The table below gives every window and value. The freezing reference is air temperature at this forecast point; it does not locate the snow line or predict surface conditions. A weather window does not confirm open terrain or operating lifts.
Swipe or scroll across the table to see all weather values.
Next available six-hour weather windows · Australia/Melbourne
Forecast window
Six-hour weather
Temperature at start
Wind at start
Precipitation (liquid)
Oct 12, 5:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 12, 11:00 PM GMT+11
Fog
9.7 °C
17 km/h
0.5 mm
Oct 12, 11:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 5:00 AM GMT+11
Fog
3.7 °C
7 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 5:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 11:00 AM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
0.4 °C
9 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 11:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 5:00 PM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
7.1 °C
12 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 5:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 13, 11:00 PM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
7.3 °C
14 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 13, 11:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 14, 5:00 AM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
-0.7 °C
18 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 14, 5:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 14, 11:00 AM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
-2.9 °C
19 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 14, 11:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 14, 5:00 PM GMT+11
Clear sky
5.5 °C
15 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 14, 5:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 14, 11:00 PM GMT+11
Clear sky
8.2 °C
16 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 14, 11:00 PM GMT+11 – Oct 15, 5:00 AM GMT+11
Clear sky
-1.7 °C
12 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 15, 5:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 15, 11:00 AM GMT+11
Clear sky
0.1 °C
3 km/h
0.0 mm
Oct 15, 11:00 AM GMT+11 – Oct 15, 5:00 PM GMT+11
Partly cloudy
11.1 °C
2 km/h
0.0 mm
Save six-hour windows with their source, update time and elevation, regardless of the selected view. The file uses °C, km/h and mm regardless of display settings, and does not refresh offline.
Based on data from MET Norway ↗, CC BY 4.0. We select published one-hour and six-hour periods, convert units and round display values. Independent of MET Norway.
Starts a new comparison for this mountain. Dates help check known holiday and weekend restrictions; confirm current pass access with the operator. Forecast weather does not confirm the mountain will be open.
