❄ PassCast
Mountains / Western Canada

Cypress Mountain BC

2,986–4,698 ft · long-term average 245" per season · window ticket ~$92 · prime window Dec–Jan

PassCast reseeded 2026-07-10 · season 2026-27

The short answer: PassCast projects a median of 186" at Cypress Mountain for 2026-27 — 77% of a typical season — with a skiability rating of 36/100, ~8 powder days, and Dec–Jan as the prime window. Updated daily from 10,000 simulations.

36SKIABILITY / 100Selective — time it well
Snow quantity 35%53
Season lean 30%23
Powder days 20%32
Bust risk 15%28
Median sim
186" (77% of typical)
P(above typical)
21%
Powder days
~8 (6"+ days)

80% of simulated seasons land between 127" and 291". Reseeded daily as ENSO observations, CPC outlooks, and SEAS5 runs update.

10,000 simulated 2026-27 seasonsENSO-weighted resampling of 36 real seasons (1990–2026) at Cypress Mountain, tilted by the live seasonal outlook

100"200"300"400"500"600"P10 127"P50 186"P90 291"typical 242"

Highlighted bars span the middle half of outcomes (P25–P75). The yellow dashed line is a typical season — the median of the last 36 at this mountain.

What's driving this forecast

ENSO: El Niño favored (99%)

The 2026-27 season is simulated by resampling Cypress Mountain's historical seasons weighted toward El Niño analog years. NOAA CPC El Niño Advisory (June 11, 2026): El Niño conditions are present and expected to strengthen into winter 2026-27, with a 63% chance of a very strong event (Niño3.4 ≥ +2.0°C) during Nov-Jan. CPC DJF strength odds: very strong 46%, strong 33%, moderate 16%. IRI (June 22) concurs at 98% El Niño for DJF. Latest observed ONI (AMJ 2026): +1.0.

Regional ENSO signal: unfavorable (strong)

Whistler's seasonal MEI correlation is -48.5% — squarely La Niña-favored terrain. El Niño winters run warmer with rain risk at the village level. Applied as a -6% tilt at partial weight.

Pre-season: climate drivers only

Day-to-day weather models have no skill this far out, so the near-term forecast contributes 0% weight today. The simulation leans entirely on ENSO-conditioned climatology — exactly what an honest seasonal outlook should do in summer. Weighting shifts toward live forecasts as opening day approaches.

The regional readWestern Canada · from the 2026-27 outlook

Whistler carries the worst El Niño exposure in Canada — a -48.5% seasonal swing between phases at the coast, with village-level rain the recurring failure mode in warm winters. The alpine, 2,000 m up, weathers it far better. Treat 2026-27 as below average with a high-altitude escape hatch.

Full global outlook →

Month by monthENSO-conditioned analog medians vs a typical month — when this season should deliver

Nov63%Dec97%Jan83%Feb87%Mar80%Apr100%
Typical month (median)ENSO-conditioned lean, wetENSO-conditioned lean, dry

Prime window: Dec–Jan — the deepest contiguous stretch of the conditioned season. Aim the trip there.

The analog poolEvery season since 1990 at Cypress Mountain (ERA5, calibrated to the resort's reported average), colored by ENSO phase

125"275"400"550"1990-91: 278" (ONI +0.4)1991-92: 179" (ONI +1.7)1992-93: 174" (ONI +0.1)1993-94: 231" (ONI +0.1)1994-95: 252" (ONI +1.0)1995-96: 153" (ONI -0.9)1996-97: 330" (ONI -0.5)1997-98: 225" (ONI +2.2)1998-99: 506" (ONI -1.6)1999-00: 274" (ONI -1.7)2000-01: 171" (ONI -0.7)2001-02: 297" (ONI -0.1)2002-03: 156" (ONI +0.9)2003-04: 246" (ONI +0.4)2004-05: 154" (ONI +0.6)2005-06: 269" (ONI -0.8)2006-07: 346" (ONI +0.7)2007-08: 315" (ONI -1.6)2008-09: 237" (ONI -0.8)2009-10: 218" (ONI +1.5)2010-11: 361" (ONI -1.3)2011-12: 361" (ONI -0.7)2012-13: 262" (ONI -0.3)2013-14: 177" (ONI -0.3)2014-15: 59" (ONI +0.7)2015-16: 205" (ONI +2.6)2016-17: 281" (ONI -0.2)2017-18: 300" (ONI -0.8)2018-19: 155" (ONI +0.9)2019-20: 206" (ONI +0.6)2020-21: 256" (ONI -0.9)2021-22: 321" (ONI -0.8)2022-23: 285" (ONI -0.5)2023-24: 185" (ONI +1.9)2024-25: 232" (ONI -0.5)2025-26: 162" (ONI -0.4)19901995200020052010201520202025
La Niña winterNeutralEl Niño winterTypical winter (median)

Pass math for Cypress Mountain

Verdicts run the full simulated snow distribution through breakeven math at ~$92/day window prices. Add trip legs on the home page to compare passes across your whole season.

10days
Ikon Base$1,019
SKIP
0%seasons it pays off−$559expected vs tickets—breakeven days
  • Covers Cypress Mountain (5d).
  • Snow-adjusted across the simulated seasons, expect ~9.1 covered days; the pass beats window tickets in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons (mean shortfall $559).
  • At this plan, window tickets or a cheaper product wins.
Unlimited at a smaller Alterra set and 5 days at most partners, with peak-holiday blackouts. Excludes Jackson Hole, Alta, Snowbasin, and Deer Valley.
Ikon Pass$1,449
SKIP
0%seasons it pays off−$808expected vs tickets—breakeven days
  • Covers Cypress Mountain (7d).
  • Snow-adjusted across the simulated seasons, expect ~9.1 covered days; the pass beats window tickets in 0% of 10,000 simulated seasons (mean shortfall $808).
  • At this plan, window tickets or a cheaper product wins.
Unlimited at ~18 Alterra destinations, 7 days each at partners (Jackson Hole, Alta, Big Sky, Aspen...). No blackouts; some partners need reservations.

Cypress Mountain 2026-27: straight answers

How much snow will Cypress Mountain get in the 2026-27 season?
PassCast's latest 10,000-run simulation (reseeded 2026-07-10) puts the median at 186 inches — 77% of a typical season at Cypress Mountain — with 80% of outcomes between 127 and 291 inches. The forecast blends Cypress Mountain's own 36-season ENSO analog record with NOAA's seasonal outlook and the ECMWF SEAS5 ensemble.
Is a season pass worth it for Cypress Mountain in 2026-27?
Cypress Mountain is on Ikon Pass, Ikon Base for 2026-27, but with day caps at this mountain the pass only pays off combined with days at its other resorts — the simulator on this page runs that math for your plan.
When is the best time to ski Cypress Mountain in 2026-27?
Dec–Jan is the prime window — the deepest contiguous stretch of the ENSO-conditioned season at Cypress Mountain. Month-by-month medians are charted on this page.
How reliable will the snow be at Cypress Mountain this season?
The simulation gives Cypress Mountain a 21% chance of beating its typical season and a median of about 8 six-inch-plus powder days. Its skiability rating is 36/100 (“Selective — time it well”), updated daily.

Sources: ERA5 reanalysis & multi-model forecasts via Open-Meteo · NOAA CPC ONI, ENSO advisory & seasonal outlook · ECMWF SEAS5 · pass prices verified July 2026. See methodology for the honest fine print.